gospace
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Workplace Forecasting·

Workplace Forecast Location: Predict demand by building before it peaks

Forecast occupancy by building to plan HVAC, staffing, and portfolio decisions.

Why it matters

Workplace demand is no longer flat across the week. Midweek peaks and Friday troughs make static space plans expensive.

Kastle reports that the 10-city average office occupancy reached 56.3% in the week ending December 8, 2025, with Tuesday at 64.5% and Friday at 36.7%. This gap is exactly where static space plans fail.

At the same time, WFH Research shows paid work-from-home days at 24.51% in January 2026 versus 7.15% in January 2019. Hybrid is structural, not temporary.

workplace.forecast.attendance (location output stream) turns that volatility into a daily, building-level decision signal.

What it does

This module forecasts occupancy at the location level, including:

  • Demand curves by building and floor
  • Peak-day and peak-hour capacity risk
  • Utilization vs. capacity by location
  • Confidence bands for forecasted attendance
  • DCAP and MCAP exposure for future capacity changes

It’s designed to feed downstream allocators (desks, offices, meeting rooms) and operations controls (cleaning, security, HVAC).

Where it helps

  • Multi-building urban portfolios with midweek crowding
  • Hub-and-spoke estates planning consolidation
  • Workplace teams preparing for stricter on-site policies

What to measure

  • Forecast error (MAPE, P90) by location
  • Peak-day overflow events
  • HVAC runtime per occupied desk-day
  • DCAP utilization and MCAP exposure trends
  • Avoided contingency spend

Sources

Real-World Benchmarks (2025-2026)

  • Kastle reported U.S. office occupancy at 56.3% average, with Tuesday 64.5% and Friday 36.7% (Dec 2025), proving demand is structurally uneven.
  • WFH Research reports paid U.S. work-from-home days at 24.51% (Jan 2026), confirming hybrid patterns are durable.
  • CBRE reports portfolio planning pressure from concentrated peak-day demand rather than uniform daily load.
  • JLL fit-out benchmarks indicate average office fit-out costs around $1,950/sqm globally (2025 guide).

Monetized ROI Assessment (USD, 2026)

Conservative 5,000-desk portfolio case:

  • Deferred overbuild: 120 desks avoided x 10 sqm/desk x $1,950/sqm = $2,340,000.
  • Peak overflow reduction: 180 overflow events avoided x $650/event = $117,000.
  • Planner time recovered: 5,500 hours x $45.65/hour = $251,075.
  • Total modeled first-year value: $2,708,075.

Executive story: predict demand before it hits, protect experience, and avoid unnecessary capex.

Benchmark Sources

Planned models roadmap: What’s next for gospace

Upcoming forecasting, allocation, and constraint models—and how to prepare for early access.

workplace forecast teams: model co-attendance and team capacity with confidence

Forecast team-level demand, desk pressure, and co-attendance so collaboration outcomes improve without overbuilding office capacity.